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HSBC issues Economic Commentary on Brexit
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20 January 2019 (Edited )

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HSBC

UK financial services company HSBC UK Bank plc has published commentary on the most recent events in the Brexit saga.

Highlights:

  • PM Theresa May's government suffered crushing defeat in parliamentary vote on Brexit withdraw agreement, but survived a vote of confidence.
  • Ms. May is expected to bring new proposals before the Commons on 21 January (but she has hinted at NO CHANGE).
  • A no-deal Brexit on 29 March is the default condition under Article 50. Government may be forced to seek an extension, but all 27 EU member states must agree.
  • EU has hinted that it would be inclined to grant extension in the event of a UK general election or 2nd referendum.
  • NI backstop is still a sticking point.
  • GBP is stuck at around $1.30, could go to $1.40 on Brexit progress or $1.10 if no deal.
  • But UK economy continues to enjoy modest growth.
  • Lower UK annual rate of currency inflation should lift consumer confidence if Brexit were to become less worrisome.


David Boggs President/CEO ACRO Global|Publisher Tourism Marketer
David H. Boggs
President/CEO
ACRO Global
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TourismMarketer

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